US election 2024

[Herman]

That money would be better off in research towards the Malaria vaccines. Great philanthropist, but he could've remained anonymous, instead of publicly choosing a side.
Another fucking yahoo!

He is another Davos billionaire. Fuck him.

[Brent]

More voters across the seven battlegrounds trust former President Donald Trump to handle democracy over Vice President Kamala Harris, even as she repeatedly labels her Republican opponent a "fascist," according to a recent poll from the Washington Post.

Trump holds a three-point advantage over Harris on handling threats to democracy, according to the poll released Wednesday. At the same time, Harris and her party have incessantly hammered Trump for being a "fascist," a "threat to democracy," and even likening him to Hitler over the course of the campaign.

[Brent]

I saw this on MSN news. The election is close to 50-50. But, there could be over 300 votes in the electoral college to the winner.

Despite polls showing a historically tight contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, a significant "Electoral College blowout" is more likely than one might expect, according to a polling analyst.

Speaking on CNN News Central, Harry Enten explained that, according to his models, there is a 60 percent chance that the winning candidate will secure at least 300 electoral votes.

So, for all the talk we've had about this election being historically close—which it is—chances are the winner will still actually score a relative blowout in the Electoral College," Enten said while speaking with anchor John Berman.

This prediction stems from polling averages in seven key battleground states, where the margins between Harris and Trump are currently under two points. However, Enten emphasized that polling errors in these states could dramatically tip the balance.

"If you look across the seven key swing states—the seven closest states—in all of them, the margin right now is under two points," Enten explained. "But keep in mind, polling ain't perfect, my dear friends. On average, since 1972, in the battleground states, the average error in the key swing states is 3.4 points."

The potential impact of polling errors has been a recurring theme in recent elections. Historically, such errors have often underestimated one candidate's support across multiple states, which can result in a dramatic shift in the final electoral count. Enten highlighted this trend, citing examples from the past three elections.

"In 2012, 92 percent of the states moved in Obama's direction. That is, the polls 'underdid' Obama. In 2016, 83 percent of the swing states moved together because the polls 'underdid' Donald Trump," Enten said. "And how about in 2020? In 100 percent of the swing state poll averages, Trump was underestimated, so he did better than a lot of folks thought."

Based on these historical examples, Enten suggested that it is "more likely than not" that the polls in 2024 will similarly move in one direction, leading to a significant electoral advantage for one of the candidates.

He added, "So, this time around, don't be surprised if the swing state polls, when they underestimate one candidate, underestimate them in all the states. And that would lead to a relative Electoral College blowout, with one of the candidates winning at least 300 electoral votes."

[Thiel]

I saw this on MSN news. The election is close to 50-50. But, there could be over 300 votes in the electoral college to the winner.

If one wins all the swing states it will be a blowout. If Trump or Harris wins them by razor thin margins like Biden did, it is still a blowout in the electoral college.

[DKG]

Just 11 days before election Day, the RealClearPolitics average of polls is showing a tie between Republican former President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. A tie in the polling likely means an advantage for Trump since he underperforms in polling.

Both candidates have 48.5% of the vote, according to the RCP average. The average also shows Trump leading Harris in the battleground states.

[Shen Li]

Look libtards, Hairyass is a horrible candidate. She will prolly lose. Get over it ffs.

[DKG]

Americans have been waking up and realizing that Kamala Harris does not stand for "A New Way Forward," as her campaign has been claiming, but rather the same exact thing they've gotten for the past few years.

She is the vice president of the current administration, after all. With this in mind, the Democrats are now doing everything they can to instill fear in their voters and smear Donald Trump as he rises in the polls.

[Lokmar]

Americans were recently reminded that ALL Republican POTUS candidates since Barry Goldwater have been labled "FASCISTS!" by leftist terdz.

[Herman]

Not only have polls and prediction markets tilted recently toward Donald Trump winning the presidential election, they are also pointing to Republicans flipping the Senate and retaining control of the House.

The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate majority away from Democrats and a 53-in-100 chance of holding the House.

Prediction markets are showing similar odds for Congress and wider odds for the White House. According to Kalshi, Trump has a 62% chance of winning the presidential election, with the GOP's odds of winning the Senate and House at 85% and 52%, respectively.

Meanwhile, the new IBKR Forecast Trader from Interactive Brokers puts Trump's odds of victory at 63%, while Democrats have just 13% odds of holding the Senate and 48% of flipping the House.

[Herman]

Everything is coming together at the right time for Trump. At least it looks that way. I guess we will find that out in nine days.

[Oliver the Second]

A Request to the American People -

As we all know polls can be easily manipulated, so let's do our own polling so we can see who supports who.

If you support Donald Trump, drive with your headlights on during the day.

If you support Kamala Harris, drive with your headlights off during the night.

Thanks for participating!

[Thiel]

A Request to the American People -

As we all know polls can be easily manipulated, so let's do our own polling so we can see who supports who.

If you support Donald Trump, drive with your headlights on during the day.

If you support Kamala Harris, drive with your headlights off during the night.

Thanks for participating!

I like that idea.

[Thiel]

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' top donor contributions as of September 2024 have been revealed by Quiver Quantitative. The former president's top four donors are American Airlines ($134,174), Walmart ($83,908), Boeing ($82,761) and Lockheed Martin (69,552). Harris' top four donors, on the other hand, are Google ($1,464,292), Microsoft ($743,045), Brown & Brown ($324,568) and Johnson & Johnson ($239,394).

These numbers are only as of September.

[Lab Flaker]

How's ol' Robert De Niro acting like a fucking muppet of late and calling for Trump to die in a jail cell.

"Let him (Trump) die in a fucking jail cell."

https://x.com/OliLondonTV/status/1850919033056452943

Hollywood has got stupider!

[DKG]

How's ol' Robert De Niro acting like a fucking muppet of late and calling for Trump to die in a jail cell.

"Let him (Trump) die in a fucking jail cell."

https://x.com/OliLondonTV/status/1850919033056452943

Hollywood has got stupider!

And I didn't think that was possible.