US election 2024

[Garraty_47]

I still think the Elites or their deep state will punish those who vote Trump back in Garraty by crashing the stock market, eh Garraty?

That way they can pile on the blame on Trump and his supporters.

The economy is already weak, but they don't want their man Biden to get the blame. So naturally they'll try to pile it all on Trump because he's more or less their enemy.

They'll prop up the charade for Biden but not for Trump.

None of that made any sense to me.
Tweak the algorithm on your financial news aggregator or get a better one.

[Herman]

A Trump campaign ad.

[Herman]

[DKG]

Just two days after putting up a weak performance in his first 2024 debate against Donald Trump, President Joe Biden exited Marine One in the Hamptons on Saturday afternoon, gripping his wife Jill Biden's arm and wearing a frozen grimace.

Despite calls across the country for the commander-in-chief to resign following his troubling debate performance, the couple was on Long Island for a star-studded fundraiser at the home of hedge-fund billionaire Barry Rosenstein and his wife Lizanne. This was the first of two major donor events that Biden had in the metro area on Saturday.

Prominent individuals, such as the celebrity duos of Michael J. Fox and Tracy Pollan and Sarah Jessica Parker and Matthew Broderick, were rumored to have spent as much as $250,000 to socialize with the president.

"Sources said Howard and Beth Stern, Loews Hotels CEO Jonathan Tisch and his socialite wife Lizzie were also in attendance.

[Shen Li]

Just two days after putting up a weak performance in his first 2024 debate against Donald Trump, President Joe Biden exited Marine One in the Hamptons on Saturday afternoon, gripping his wife Jill Biden's arm and wearing a frozen grimace.

Despite calls across the country for the commander-in-chief to resign following his troubling debate performance, the couple was on Long Island for a star-studded fundraiser at the home of hedge-fund billionaire Barry Rosenstein and his wife Lizanne. This was the first of two major donor events that Biden had in the metro area on Saturday.

Prominent individuals, such as the celebrity duos of Michael J. Fox and Tracy Pollan and Sarah Jessica Parker and Matthew Broderick, were rumored to have spent as much as $250,000 to socialize with the president.

"Sources said Howard and Beth Stern, Loews Hotels CEO Jonathan Tisch and his socialite wife Lizzie were also in attendance.

Lol, Biden the corporate shill.

Joe posted on another forum that the US Supreme Court is controlled by right wing corporations. I pointed out to him that all big corporations are woke as fuck nowadays. Now that Trump has turned the GOP into a worker's movement, the Democrats are the party corporate behemoths donate millions of dollars to.

[Brent]

A new post-debate poll released Monday from St. Anselm College found that former President Donald Trump is beating Joe Biden by two points in New Hampshire. The last time a Republican presidential candidate won the state was George W. Bush in 2000.

[Brent]

Lol, Biden the corporate shill.

Joe posted on another forum that the US Supreme Court is controlled by right wing corporations. I pointed out to him that all big corporations are woke as fuck nowadays. Now that Trump has turned the GOP into a worker's movement, the Democrats are the party corporate behemoths donate millions of dollars to.

Joe knows corporations love open borders and mass immigration of the Democratic party. He is just trying to be an asshole.

[Herman]

Lol, Biden the corporate shill.

Joe posted on another forum that the US Supreme Court is controlled by right wing corporations. I pointed out to him that all big corporations are woke as fuck nowadays. Now that Trump has turned the GOP into a worker's movement, the Democrats are the party corporate behemoths donate millions of dollars to.

Globalist prog money pulls the strings on corporations and vice versa.

[Herman]

The news site Puck published a leaked memo Tuesday from Open Labs, a leftist research outfit that does polling for various Democratic groups, revealing that President Joe Biden's debate performance last week may have been the final nail in his political coffin.

A poll conducted in the 72 hours following the debate found that 40% of respondents who voted for Biden in 2020 now think the Democratic incumbent should end his campaign, while 45% suggested he should stick with it. Just two months ago, pollsters found that only 25% of Biden 2020 supporters wanted him to step aside, while 62% wanted him to remain in the race.

Swing voters also signaled that they felt Biden was finished, suggesting by margin of two to one that he should scuttle his campaign.

A closer look at key Electoral College states painted an even more dire picture for Biden.

In a multi-candidate ballot, Biden suffered a margin drop of around 2% in every battleground state, such that now in Pennsylvania, for example, Trump leads Biden by over 7%. Prior to the debate, Trump only had a 5% lead. Trump leads Biden by 2.8% in New Hampshire, by 4.2% in Wisconsin, by 6.9% in Michigan, by 8.8% in Nevada, by 9.7% in Arizona, by 10.1% in Georgia, and by 10.6% in North Carolina.

The poll also suggested Trump has gained a half-point advantage in New Mexico and Virginia. Biden's pre-debate leads in Colorado and Maine have also largely melted away, putting the race within roughly 2% in both.

[Brent]

Former President Trump has expanded his lead over President Biden in the aftermath of last week's debate to 6 points, up from 3 just a week prior, according to a much-anticipated New York Times/Siena College poll.

The poll showed Trump leading Biden with 49 percent to the incumbent's 43 percent among likely voters, holding the largest lead he has had in a Times/Siena poll since 2015, when he first ran for president. Among registered voters, Trump's lead expands to 8 points, 49 percent to 41 percent.

[Herman]

Recent polls suggest that Harris could perform better than Biden against Trump, although the race would still be tight. A CNN poll found that voters favor Trump over Biden by six percentage points, while Harris trails Trump by only two points, within the margin of error. The poll also showed that independents and moderate voters of both parties prefer Harris over Trump.

However, a majority of Americans still see Harris in a negative light, with 37.1% approving of her and 49.6% disapproving, according to polling outlet Five Thirty Eight.

[Herman]

Jim Crow Joe is the first democRAT to trail in July polls since July 2000.

CNN data expert Harry Enten has dismantled one of the Biden campaign's top narratives about election polls.

For almost the entirety of the 2024 campaign, Donald Trump has maintained a narrow lead over President Joe Biden in general election polls. The president's campaign has tried to explain away the polls by claiming they underestimate Biden's support and thus cannot be trusted.

The principle of polls under-sampling Trump support is not a phenomenon limited to the 2020 election, according to Enten.

"Last time around, Donald Trump actually did better in the results than his July polls by five points. You go back to 2016, you see something very similar. That is the July polls actually underestimated Donald Trump. He outperformed his July polls," he said.

"So the idea in the Trump era that the polls have underestimated Democrats — whether it be in a Joe Biden matchup, whether it be a matchup against Hillary Clinton, whether it be in the midterms ... simply put, is not true," he explained.

Not only is the Biden campaign's narrative not true, but Trump is accomplishing something unusual.

The fact that Trump is leading his Democratic opponent indicates his strength, according to Enten, because it has been a quarter-century since a Republican presidential candidate led a Democrat in July.

"Go all the way back: Who led in early July polls? Well, right now, Donald Trump is ahead. Go back in 2020, a Democrat, Biden. In 2016, Hillary Clinton, a Democrat — 2008, 2012, a Democrat. Even in 2004, where George W. Bush ended up winning, John Kerry was actually ahead in the polls at this point," Enten explained. "You have to go all the way back to 2000 to George W. Bush being ahead in the early July polls — you have to go all the way back to the end of the 20th century, beginning of the 21st century, to find a Republican ahead at this point. Twenty-four years!"
https://x.com/daveweigel/status/1810677119787413678?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1810677119787413678%7Ctwgr%5E02d3a7565a1b4c9d07599845cbdddb26752a8e26%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theblaze.com%2Fnews%2Fenten-polls-underestimate-donald-trump

"Polling continues to be at odds with how Americans vote and consistently overestimates Donald Trump while underestimating President Biden," the Biden campaign claimed earlier this year.

On Monday, Enten faced that narrative head-on and used data to prove that, in fact, the opposite is true.

The data that Enten cited showed that, at this time in the 2020 election cycle, Biden had a nine-point advantage over Trump. But when the votes were counted on Election Day, Biden won the national vote by a much smaller margin than polls had predicted, indicating that Trump's support had been significantly underestimated.

"The idea that the polls underestimated Joe Biden last time around, simply put, does not hold any water," Enten said.
https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1810319519275221034?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1810319519275221034%7Ctwgr%5E02d3a7565a1b4c9d07599845cbdddb26752a8e26%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theblaze.com%2Fnews%2Fenten-polls-underestimate-donald-trump

[Herman]

Classic Trump

[JOE]

Latest polls indicate Trump leads Biden in all the Swing Battleground States:

[JOE]