SMF - Just Installed!
Quote from: Erica Mena[12|Oct 12:18 AM]What makes you think I stopped? Misery-pop for depressed goth chicks and beta soyents to slash their wrists to. The Melbourne music scene has produced way better... some of which that unlike that Belgian wimp's example did not necessitate frequent stopovers at East Richmond to fellate coked up music promoters.
That Gotye song is playing
I remember cunt used to rag on it lol
Many years ago
Quote from: DKG on October 13, 2024, 10:31:29 AMNot so about Rasmussen. Like most pollsters they gave an advantage to the Dems in 2016 and 2020. Even a CNN poll recently showed there are are slightly more Dems for Trump than vice versa.Sounds....legit. Using your exact same methodology, both assassination attempts on Donald Trump were the work of republican shooters. You're making the mistake of conflating bias with overt support; Rasmussen leans more right than CNN, MSNBC, Politico et al, therefore they can be said to be biased in favour of Republicans.
Quote from: DKG on October 13, 2024, 10:31:29 AMMost of the most recent polling shows a statistical tie in the battleground states. The aggregate is skewed because of a biased Bloomberg poll.You would prefer to exert a bias in favour of what you interpret as unbiased polls? What methodology are you employing to that end I wonder? It's certainly not you personally getting on the blower and ringing every voter in the US to confirm actual figures or I'd have heard about it.
Quote from: DKG on October 13, 2024, 10:31:29 AMThey will have a new poll early this week. I expect as usual it will give an edge to Harris in the swing states, but it will not be five percent.Popular vote doesn't mean shit for the US and you know it. The electoral college carries the day in the US, which is how it's possible for big cities like New York and Los Angeles to turn their liberal hordes on the ballot boxes at the expense of the rest of the country... and (unlike Canada) ...still lose the election.
Harris still maintains a less than two percent lead in the popular vote. I expect her to win the popular vote but by a slimmer margin than Hillary or Biden.
Quote from: DKG on October 13, 2024, 10:31:29 AMWith the race this close in the battleground states there may not be a winner declared on election night....I say "swap the words 'may not' for 'will not' and we are in complete agreement." I don't know if you remember the graphs showing polling results over time in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania last time around, but those "f-curves" that favoured Joe Biden required kicking observers out of the actual count. In one case the jump in Joe Biden's numbers happened at 4am... in conjunction with a truck showing up to make a delivery of a number of boxes to the venue.
Quote from: Oerdin[13|Oct 03:00 AM]
I love how Dems keep putting out "Republicans for Kamala Harris" ads but all the people featured in those ads are just Democrats. The fuckers can't even find a single person
Quote from: DKG[13|Oct 08:43 AM]Unsurprising since Rasmussen's polling bias favours republicans in much the same was as CNN's polls favour the left. Pretty much every polling group has a bias which is why I tend to look at aggregate polling data from places like RealClearPolitics instead... and then only to determine the trajectory of public opinion rather than absolute figures. Aggregated polls are still capable of reflecting polling bias, as evidenced in the 2016 election which Donald Trump succeeded in taking, despite being more then three percentage points behind Hillary Clinton in the polling aggregate on election night.
It is so misleading. I read a Rasmussen poll that showed there are slightly more Dems for Trump than GOP for Harris.
Quote from: reaps the honest[01|Oct 05:57 AM] Cunty am down with the covid again 3rd time. been doing what you suggested and am overdosing on vitamin d. And it seems to not as bad as last time.touch wood.
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