Poll
Question:
Could Trump win the US election in 2024?
Option 1: No. Absolutely Not. He will lose as the Republican nominee
votes: 0
Option 2: Trump will be replaced by another Republican but he will run as an Independent and lose
votes: 0
Option 3: There is a remote possibility (<5%) that Trump could win
votes: 0
Option 4: There is a small possibility (<25%) that Trump could win
votes: 0
Option 5: There is a 50-50 chance that Trump could win
votes: 0
Option 6: There is a Good Possibility that he could win (75%)
votes: 1
Option 7: There is a Very Strong Chance that he could win (90%)
votes: 0
Option 8: I don't know
votes: 0
Rather than inject my own biases, I figger just let the BC members decide.
What do you folks think?
Will/Could Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
And if he does, for better or worse, what would be the social, political and economic implications of his comeback?
How would a Trump victory affect his adverseries and American society?
Feel free to post what you think.
No restrictions, ya can't be judged as it's a free thread.
Very good chance. If He flips 4 or 5 states He will win.
I still think it's too far out to tell. While he certainly has a commanding lead in the primaries, is showing promise against an increasingly demented potato in the polls and appears to profit politically from every piece of mud his detractors sling at him, there is still a chance he could stroke out, be assassinated or otherwise be rendered ineligible for office.
There is also the spectre of war powers being invoked by the current administration, meaning there could very well be no 2024 election at all.
If all other things were equal, I would say he has it in the bag. But they are assuredly not equal and accordingly I'm reserving my judgement until the night itself.
It will be an up hill battle. In the end a few centrists in a handful of swing states will decide everything.