Broken promises, two ethics violations, budget deficits, higher taxes, and now insulting racial mockery. This should not even be close. If the Conservatives had a strong leader with passion, the Trudeau's reelection hopes would be dead in the water.
By Lorne Gunter of Sun News Media
You have to know that if Justin Trudeau hadn’t been caught wearing blackface at a private school fundraiser in Vancouver in 2001, his Liberals wouldn’t now be desperately trying to change the topic by promising a tax cut for anyone earning under $210,000 a year and lower cellphone rates.
However, the blackface revelation has so far failed to move the polls up or down.
Most national voting-preference polls still show a virtual tie between the Liberals and Conservatives. Even after last week’s bombshell photos and videos of Trudeau in dark makeup on three separate occasions, both main parties remain in the low 30s. The Conservatives have not pulled ahead, the Liberals have not fallen behind.
It may be less likely now that the Libs win a majority. Yet a Liberal minority still seems the most likely outcome on Oct. 21. (And a Liberal minority held in power by the NDP or Greens would be the worse outcome for Alberta.)
If anything, the scandal hurt Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer as much as it hurt Prime Minister Trudeau.
According to Abacus Data, “Justin Trudeau’s personal ratings have slipped.” Trudeau’s positives, according to Abacus “are down four points and his negatives are up three.”
However, “Andrew Scheer, Jagmeet Singh and Elizabeth May have all seen deterioration in their ratings as well.” May’s numbers are now weaker than at anything in the past year-and-a-half, while “Scheer’s positives have dropped three points and his negatives have hit a new high at 39 per cent,” Abacus found.
I think the blackface incident caused a lot of voters to look around at the alternatives to the scandal-prone Liberal leader. But when they looked, their response was, “Ugh. Those are my other choices?”
What the blackface scandal has likely done is raise Liberal hypocrisy levels while at the same time hardening Conservative supporters’ determination to never vote for Trudeau and his party.
The unfortunate thing for Conservatives is there are a lot of people, especially in the Golden Triangle of Montreal, Ottawa and Toronto, and in the Vancouver area who are prepared to overlook the growing list of Trudeau’s bumbling errors — his climbdown on electoral reform, his farcical India trip, his groping of a female reporter (before he entered politics), his elbowing of an NDP MP in the House of Commons, his maltreatment of female cabinet ministers who stand up to him, his total disregard for the rule of law in Snc-lavalin, his failure on pipelines, his two ethics violations, his disregard for deficits and on and on and on — just because they have bought into the Liberal fear machine: Fear of budget cuts, fear of racism, fear of climate change, fear of (or hatred for) “the rich.”
Such voters are so fearful they are prepared to overlook all of the Liberals’ glaring failings and hypocrisies.
But Liberal supporters can’t be blamed entirely — or maybe even mostly.
So far, the Conservative campaign has been abysmal — boring, vapid, unfocussed and reactive.
Leader Andrew Scheer, who already suffers from an abundance of blandness, has been so afraid of being tagged with the unpopularity of Ontario Premier Doug Ford that he has dialed down his personality further still. (To flatline?)
And while the Conservative platform contains a pledge to get rid of the federal carbon tax and to bring in “fair immigration” reforms, there are very few details.
Worse yet, to distance himself from Ford, Scheer is promising spending on transit, veterans, job training and more that would fit well in the Liberal platform.
Maybe the upcoming debates, coupled with the blackface scandal, will revive the Liberals’ rivals on the left. At this point, Scheer’s only hope would seem to be a return of vote-splitting on the left, however unlikely that may be.
A claim for equality of material position can be met only by a government with totalitarian powers. Friedrich August von Hayek