A Thread showing how this virus is RISING or FALLING in spread

[cc]

Cases followed by deaths for most recent  week ending each Friday  December 25



(As some don't give stats for holidays, I am estimating that day according to recent trend)



(Brackets) indicates how many less than previous week - No brackets indicated how many more than previous week



CORRECTION on Canada]CANADA [/b]- (~0) (~100)    - following 3 weeks of modest decreases

(1 in every 71 has caught it) -  (Death Rate / Case = 2.75%)





BC - (1,412) (42)   - following 3 weeks of modest decreases  

(1 in every 103 has caught it) -  (Death Rate / Case = 1.67%) It had slowly progressed down to 1.2  until recently





ALBERTA - (3,790) (42)  - following 3 weeks of modest decreases or stable  

(1 in every 47 has caught it)-  (Death Rate / Case = 0.95%)





ONTARIO - 1,386 38 - following 7 weeks of varying increases  

(1 in every 88 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case = 2.59%)





QUEBEC -  2,642  84  - following 7 weeks of mostly modest decreases

 (1 in every 46 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case = 4.26%) One of the worse in the world. Not a good rate from the beginning





U.S. - (243,968)   (2,268)    - following 7 weeks of major increases

 (1 / 17 have caught it) - (Death Rate / Case = 1.76%)





UK -  76,433    620  - more than 2 recent days worth of increase in cases  following 2 weeks of major increase  

(1 in every 31 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case =3.16% ) Not a good rate from the beginning





FRANCE - 13,163 14  - following 2 weeks of major increase that followed  weeks of major decrease  

(1 in every 26 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case =2.45%)





ITALY  -  (11,313) (1,042) - following several weeks of improvement  

(1 in every 30 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case = 3.52%)





GERMANY  - 9,809    181  following 2 weeks of similar increase  

(1 in every 51 has caught it) - (Death Rate / Case = 1.83%) Had been extremely good initially, but has fallen back of late

 



And no, I didn't manually calculate each individual result

I copied direct from my spreadsheet which is set up to automatically make the calcs as daily data in inputted   ac_smile



I'll update it weekly to show how everyone is progressing as time goes on (although more difficult during holidays as reports are not as consistent ,,.. especially in Canada

[Anonymous]

Cases followed by deaths for most recent  week ending each Friday  December 25



(As some don't give stats for holidays, I am estimating that day according to recent trend)



(Brackets) indicates how many less than previous week - No brackets indicated how many more than previous week





CANADA - (6,638) (204)    - following 3 weeks of modest decreases

(1 in every 71 has caught it) ... (Death Rate / Case = 2.75%)





BC - (1,412) (42)   - following 3 weeks of modest decreases  

(1 in every 103 has caught it) ... (Death Rate / Case = 1.67%) It had slowly progressed down to 1.2  until recently





ALBERTA - (4,790) (42)  - following 3 weeks of modest decreases or stable  

(1 in every 47 has caught it) ... (Death Rate / Case = 0.95%)





ONTARIO - 1,386 38 - following 7 weeks of varying increases  

(1 in every 88 has caught it) (Death Rate / Case = 2.59%)





QUEBEC -  2,642  84  - following 7 weeks of mostly modest decreases

 (1 in every 46 has caught it) (Death Rate / Case = 4.26%) One of the worse in the world. Not a good rate from the beginning





U.S. - (243,968)   (2,268)    - following 7 weeks of major increases

 (1 / 17 have caught it) (Death Rate / Case = 1.76%)





UK -  76,433    620  - more than 2 recent days worth of increase in cases  following 2 weeks of major increase  

(1 in every 31 has caught it) (Death Rate / Case =3.16% ) Not a good rate from the beginning





FRANCE - 13,163 14  - following 2 weeks of major increase that followed  weeks of major decrease  

(1 in every 26 has caught it) (Death Rate / Case =2.45%)





ITALY  -  (11,313) (1,042) - following several weeks of improvement  

(1 in every 30 has caught it) (Death Rate / Case = 3.52%)





GERMANY  - 9,809    181  following 2 weeks of similar increase  

(1 in every 51 has caught it)(Death Rate / Case = 1.83%) Had been extremely good initially, but has fallen back of late

 



And no, I didn't manually calculate each individual result

I copied direct from my spreadsheet which is set up to automatically make the calcs ac_smile



I'll update it weekly to show how everyone is progressing as time goes on (although more difficult during holidays as reports are not as consistent ,,.. especially in Canada

Those numbers must be wrong..



Canada is adding about sisty six hundred new cases a day, not a week..



And Alberta had more than 4790 cases in one week, and BC has had more than 1412 in one week.

[cc]

Look at top - They represent changes up or down over the last 7 day period (one week),



not the raw daily and / or weekly numbers used to achieve that change



i.e - This past week vs the previous week



Example - 1,000 would mean a change of 1,000 from the past week - brackets = went down 1,000 over last week, &  no brackets = increased 1,000 last week from the week before



It's meant as a gauge as to improving or getting worse over time

[Anonymous]

Look at top - They represent changes up or down over the last 7 day period (one week),



not the raw daily and / or weekly numbers used to achieve that change



i.e - This past week vs the previous week



Example - 1,000 would mean a change of 1,000 from the past week - brackets = went down 1,000 &  no brackets = increased 1,000

Oh I see.

[cc]

I'll do it every week in this thread so all can see if we are winning or losing at a glance



The raw numbers we usual see tell no story of progress or not  .. they are just "of the moment"

[Anonymous]

Saskatchewan seems stuck around 150-225 cases a day.

[cc]

Thanks .. Noticed that  ... well, at least it's not rising



I couldn't put the rise or fall for Sask in as I don't have the old numbers for it to compare with

[Anonymous]

Thanks .. Noticed that  ... well, at least it's not rising



I couldn't put the rise or fall for Sask in as I don't have the old numbers for it to compare with

As I said, I expect cases will go up after new years. I had guests and I know a lot of other people who did too.