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Politics/Religion Consolidated Megathread Extravaganza

Started by Blazor, November 15, 2022, 12:42:03 PM

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DKG

magine a family facing impending bankruptcy while suddenly hitting their credit limit. Typically, that family would make serious lifestyle changes to balance the budget, and if they found it necessary to take out a new line of credit, they would only do so for the minimal amount necessary for a short period of time. Well, when it comes to the uniparty in Washington, after the $11 trillion COVID spending and money-printing orgy, they responded to calls for spending cuts and reforms ... by allowing an all-you-can-eat debt buffet from now until 2025! Don't worry, they gave us a couple of spending and accounting gimmicks in return.



The central flaw in McCarthy's approach to this deal was his entire messaging in the lead-up to this act of political adultery. Rather than drawing a line in the sand on the GOP-passed bill and then making the battle about debt, inflation, and the weaponization of government, he made the battle about getting Biden to negotiate and about not defaulting on the debt. In other words, he conveyed the message that Republicans fear not raising the debt limit just as much as the Democrats. Perforce, Biden easily agreed to "negotiate" so McCarthy could say he got "something" other than a "clean" debt limit increase. Once Biden agreed to negotiate and McCarthy wrongly validated June 1 as a drop-dead deadline, he had no leverage left. Hence, the interception rather than a touchdown in the form of the debt ceiling bill.

Lokmar


DKG

Chris Christie is set to announce his 2024 presidential campaign on Tuesday at a town hall in Manchester, New Hampshire.

Adolf Oliver Bush

Her fucking fupa looked like a pair of ass cheeks... like someone naked ran into her head first and got stuck. She was like "come eat me out" and I was like "nah I think I'll go snort some anthrax and light myself on fire instead"

 - Biggie Smiles

Oerdin

So true.



https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share">https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share



Unlike Trump DeSantis will actually do something by enacting laws to change things instead of just tweeting about things.

Adolf Oliver Bush

Quote from: Oerdin post_id=502410 time=1685552933 user_id=3374
So true.



https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share">https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share



Unlike Trump DeSantis will actually do something by enacting laws to change things instead of just tweeting about things.

Like sending the global economy into a tailspin and leaving the door open for vexatious legal proceedings against free expression, yes I believed I covered that.



As a side note, supposing you got your wish, I wouldn't be at all surprised to mean sites like these would be hunting for a new host in short order. These kinds of legislation have a habit of being expanded. But I'm sure you'd tell me that would never ever happen.



Caskur isn't the starry eyed hopeful whose candidate can do no wrong it seems. But then I've alluded to this previously too.
Her fucking fupa looked like a pair of ass cheeks... like someone naked ran into her head first and got stuck. She was like "come eat me out" and I was like "nah I think I'll go snort some anthrax and light myself on fire instead"

 - Biggie Smiles

Herman

Quote from: Oerdin post_id=502410 time=1685552933 user_id=3374
So true.



https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share">https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share



Unlike Trump DeSantis will actually do something by enacting laws to change things instead of just tweeting about things.

 :thumbup:

Oerdin

Quote from: "Adolf Oliver Bush" post_id=502419 time=1685563915 user_id=3409
Quote from: Oerdin post_id=502410 time=1685552933 user_id=3374
So true.



https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share">https://youtube.com/shorts/60_kl4s9DDg?feature=share



Unlike Trump DeSantis will actually do something by enacting laws to change things instead of just tweeting about things.

Like sending the global economy into a tailspin and leaving the door open for vexatious legal proceedings against free expression, yes I believed I covered that.



As a side note, supposing you got your wish, I wouldn't be at all surprised to mean sites like these would be hunting for a new host in short order. These kinds of legislation have a habit of being expanded. But I'm sure you'd tell me that would never ever happen.



Caskur isn't the starry eyed hopeful whose candidate can do no wrong it seems. But then I've alluded to this previously too.


Put the crack pipe down, son.

Adolf Oliver Bush

Quote from: Oerdin post_id=502450 time=1685583048 user_id=3374
Quote from: "Adolf Oliver Bush" post_id=502419 time=1685563915 user_id=3409


Like sending the global economy into a tailspin and leaving the door open for vexatious legal proceedings against free expression, yes I believed I covered that.



As a side note, supposing you got your wish, I wouldn't be at all surprised to mean sites like these would be hunting for a new host in short order. These kinds of legislation have a habit of being expanded. But I'm sure you'd tell me that would never ever happen.



Caskur isn't the starry eyed hopeful whose candidate can do no wrong it seems. But then I've alluded to this previously too.


Put the crack pipe down, son.

...he said, as he regarded the double digit polling gap and dismissed it as a hallucination brought on from huffing too much Eau de Toilet fumes on a shit-stacked street corner in San Fagcrisco...
Her fucking fupa looked like a pair of ass cheeks... like someone naked ran into her head first and got stuck. She was like "come eat me out" and I was like "nah I think I'll go snort some anthrax and light myself on fire instead"

 - Biggie Smiles

DKG

FBI Director Christopher Wray has confirmed the existence of a document alleging that President Joe Biden engaged in a criminal bribery scheme with a foreign national according to Republicans on the House Oversight and Accountability Committee.



In a Twitter post, the panel announced that Wray had told them the document was real and offered to let them review it, but has failed to produce the document for the Oversight Committee as a whole.



If true, the acknowledgment is the latest in an escalating showdown between House Oversight Chairman James Comer (R-Ky.) and Wray over the document.



In a May 3 letter, Comer and Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) revealed that they received "highly credible unclassified whistleblower disclosures" that the FBI possessed an unclassified record that "describes an alleged criminal scheme involving then-Vice President Joe Biden and a foreign national relating to the exchange of money for policy decisions."



Comer gave Wray a May 30 deadline to produce the document or face charges for contempt of Congress—a deadline Wray missed. The threat got a boost after it won the support of Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), who agreed to hold Wray in contempt if the deadline wasn't met.



On May 31, Wray met with Comer and others, when he allegedly revealed the truth of the document's existence.





But he's failed to turn it over to the panel, prompting Republicans to again warn that they'll move forward with contempt charges.

DKG

This is a rather long article by environmental economist Ross MKitrick. It highlights the flawed study Steven Guilbeault is using to justify further raping middle classs Canadians.



The Social Cost of Carbon game

Estimates of the SCC championed by Guilbeault are not science



Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault recently announced that the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC), or the dollar value of supposed damages associated with each tonne of carbon dioxide emissions, is about $247, nearly five times higher than the old estimate of $54. He made it sound like a discovery, as if a bunch of experts had finally been able to measure something they previously only guessed at. Like when scientists were finally able to measure the mass of an electron or the age of the Earth, now finally we can measure the SCC.



But economists are on the case. The $247 figure referenced by Guilbeault comes from a new report from the Biden administration that tossed out all the previous models, including Nordhaus's, and instead cobbled together a set of new models that when run together yield much higher SCC values.



In many ways the new models are just like the old ones. For example they persist in using an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity of 3 degrees C. This refers to the warming expected from doubling the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. The authors cite the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as the basis for this decision, apparently unaware that that estimate has already been shown in the climate literature to be flawed. Using the IPCC's own method on updated data yields a sensitivity estimate of about 2.2 C or less, and as I have shown in a recent publication this is enough to cause the SCC estimate in a standard model to drop to nearly zero.



The biggest boosts to the new SCC figure hailed by Guilbeault come from revisions to agricultural productivity impacts and mortality costs from climate warming. The evidence for large negative agricultural impacts comes from a 2017 article by Frances Moore and co-authors that looked at the combined effects of CO2 fertilization and warming, concluding the net effect would harm global agriculture. Oddly, they used the same data as a 2014 study by Andrew Challinor and co-authors who had found the opposite: the combination of increased CO2 and warming would have much more benign, and in some cases even beneficial, results.



How did Moore et al. get different results from the same data? They used a different statistical model but unfortunately didn't provide evidence showing it is better than the one Challinor used, so it's unclear whose results are stronger. But we know whose are more popular. The Biden administration team referred only to the Moore study and left out any mention of the Challinor one, and it is a safe assumption that the reviewers didn't notice the omission. See how the game is played?



Regarding the mortality effect, the report relies on evidence in a new study that apparently shows that warming will mean fewer deaths from cold and more from heat, and the combined effect globally is a much larger overall death toll than previously thought. The study is by an impressive team led by economist Tamma Carleton and 15 co-authors. In their preface they thank 17 research assistants, four project managers, 13 reviewers and seminar participants at 20 prestigious academic institutions around the world. It's a high-quality piece of work, but like tens of thousands of other splashy climate impacts studies it relies for its headline conclusions on the discredited RCP8.5 emissions scenario. How did all those prestigious researchers and reviewers miss this flaw?



Thus I reiterate that SCC estimates are if-then statements. They are not intrinsically true or false: what matters is the credibility of the assumptions. If emissions follow the RCP8.5 scenario (which they won't), and if people don't adapt to climate change (which they will), and if CO2 and warm weather stop being good for plants (which is unlikely), then the SCC could be five times larger than previously thought. More likely it isn't, and very well could be much smaller.

https://financialpost.com/opinion/junk-science-week-social-cost-of-carbon-game?fbclid=IwAR2bszfU74XAqqVWn2PVoWNC739VgzCxBUMWc8mwRaUCNeWo545hARlrMs4">https://financialpost.com/opinion/junk- ... 45hARlrMs4">https://financialpost.com/opinion/junk-science-week-social-cost-of-carbon-game?fbclid=IwAR2bszfU74XAqqVWn2PVoWNC739VgzCxBUMWc8mwRaUCNeWo545hARlrMs4

Oerdin

The rest of the world is not going to damage their economy and lower their living standards.  Only the west yet yet China and India are where most GHGs are produced.

Oerdin

Even a former Trump attorney is saying the classified document case is looking very bad for Trump as a new recording surfaces of Trump acknowledging he cannot take classified documents without following the approval process.



https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4029864-former-trump-white-house-lawyer-reported-audio-eviscerates-defense-in-classified-documents-investigation/amp/">https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing ... ation/amp/">https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4029864-former-trump-white-house-lawyer-reported-audio-eviscerates-defense-in-classified-documents-investigation/amp/

Oerdin

House and Senate both pass bill to block Biden's $400 billion student loan give away designed to buy votes.  Biden promises to veto it even though the Supreme Court is set to rule on its constitutionality.



https://www.foxnews.com/politics/senate-votes-kill-400-billion-student-loan-handout-fifth-biden-veto">https://www.foxnews.com/politics/senate ... biden-veto">https://www.foxnews.com/politics/senate-votes-kill-400-billion-student-loan-handout-fifth-biden-veto

Herman

In October 2022, the Marco Polo group released a 634-page report of its forensic examination of every document on Biden's laptop.



The New York Post reported, "The 634-page report (plus 2,020 footnotes) lists six alleged crimes committed by Joe Biden – including tax evasion and violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA) – alongside 459 crimes it alleges were committed by Hunter, including illegal foreign lobbying and money laundering."



In March, Hunter Biden seemed to validate the story of his forgotten laptop when he sued the owner of the computer repair shop for invasion of privacy.